Prenatal malnutrition and subsequent foetal loss risk: Evidence from the 1959-1961 Chinese famine

BACKGROUND Scientists disagree on whether prenatal malnutrition has long-term influences on women’s reproductive function, and empirical evidence of such long-term effects remains limited and inconsistent. METHODS Using the retrospective pregnancy history of 12,567 Chinese women collected in a nationally representative sample survey in 2001, this study conducted difference-indifferences analyses to investigate the relationship between prenatal exposure to the 1959-1961 Great Leap Forward Famine in China and the subsequent risk of involuntary foetal loss, including miscarriage and stillbirth, and how this relationship changes between the rural and urban populations. RESULTS Prenatal exposure to the Great Leap Forward Famine had no long-term effect on women’s risk of miscarriage. Such an exposure increased the risk of stillbirth among urban women but not among rural women. CONCLUSIONS The results support the foetal origins hypothesis. The significant urban-rural difference in the effect of prenatal famine exposure on stillbirth suggests the presence of a longterm negative foetal origins effect and a strong selection effect caused by famineinduced population attrition. 1 Queens College and CUNY Institute for Demographic Research, The City University of New York. E-mail: [email protected]. Song: Prenatal malnutrition and subsequent foetal loss 708 http://www.demographic-research.org